Expanding investment in the critical minerals and rare earths chain could add R$ 192.1 billion to Brazil’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and create 750,000 jobs by 2050, according to a study released by Amcham Brasil.
The figures represent a projection for a scenario of greater investment in, and development of, the production chain in the country.
The study compares two possible paths. In the first, investment is financed mostly by domestic capital and production remains predominantly geared toward exports, with little value added in Brazil. In this scenario, the estimated cumulative impact on GDP is R$ 128.7 billion, with 304,000 jobs created.
The second scenario assumes greater participation of foreign investment, expanded mineral processing in Brazil and growing use of these inputs by domestic industry. Under this assumption, investment grows by R$ 120.9 billion, with an estimated cumulative impact on GDP of R$ 192.1 billion and 750,000 jobs created.
The difference between the scenarios amounts to R$ 63.4 billion in GDP, R$ 32.3 billion in household consumption, R$ 16.1 billion in investment and 446,000 jobs. These are results projected by the study, subject to the conditions considered in each scenario.
Read the full study here: Amcham Brasil.
The figures underscore a decisive question: how much value can Brazil generate by developing more stages of the production chain here? This is one of the discussions proposed by the Instituto Diálogos seminar.
Event details
Seminar Critical Minerals: From the New Law to Industrial Transformation
When: October 8, 2026, 9 a.m. to 12:30 p.m.
Where: ION Building Auditorium, Asa Norte, Brasília (DF)
Organized by: Instituto Diálogos
Registration: https://forms.gle/yhb6hQWtgbd93f6s6
Seating is limited to the auditorium’s capacity.